Resolves YES if @firstuserhere earns Ṁ1,000,000 or more total profit before December 31st 2023 23:59:59 UTC. If this dosn't happen resolves NO.
This market will resolves using the official Manifold Leaderboard: Top Traders of All Time OR using the "Profit" value from the profile page of @firstuserhere.
Any single point on the personal "Profit" graph that is Ṁ1,000,000 or more is sufficient for the YES resolution. Profit spike still counts. Intentional total profit value manipulation by strategic betting by anyone will not be disqualified, and this market still resolves acording to the resolution criteria above.
Btw here's /Wobbles/firstuserhere-stock-permanent
@MarcusAbramovitch did he do it? I see it going up to 997k, but don't see the profit graph going above that
The most important market for the resolution of this market: https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step
To avoid any confusion, @firstuserhere is currently @Feanor, and this market will resolve as the position of the profits of the user https://manifold.markets/api/v0/user/by-id/zgCIqq8AmRUYVu6AdQ9vVEJN8On1, no matter the username they might have at the time
@MayMeta yeah, given that users can change usernames at will, there should be a redirect to the same profile even if it's a new username
@MayMeta Is there a way to look at the history of all-time profit? It seemed to hit 997k but then the GUI didn't update until it fell. If we had fine-grain data, I suspect it did cross 100k at some point.
@MarcusAbramovitch thx, fxd!
I first wrote Jan 1st 2024, and then replaced the year and the day, forgetting about the month😅