
2022-12-29: Edited to add "immediately" to the title, where "immediately" expands to something like "so quickly that no one else participated in the market, and plausibly would not have had enough time to notice the market and do so." See this comment thread below: https://manifold.markets/MattCWilson/do-you-think-creating-trading-in-an#0dR68dE3NuC9s0q7LclO
If you originally bid in this market thinking of longer term markets that happen to be about your own thing, that no one else happens to participate in - those are not in scope for this question. My apologies if this invalidates your previous position 😕
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Based off a question I posed to
in this market: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/is-isaacking-an-expert-in-longvol-t?referrer=MattCWilson
Regardless of your stance on the topic of that particular market, what do you think about the general practice that is implemented there: a market creator being able to trade in the market, immediately resolve it, and collect the liquidity and the leaderboard cred?
This market will resolve in favor of the majority opinion of the traders in this market (unique traders per side, regardless of position size) at the end of the period. If it's an even split, I will extend the window for one additional week. If it's still even, I will resolve N/A.
I am currently a vague NO on this question, due to Kantian categorical imperative-esque badfeels about such behavior at scale, but! I'm new around here at Manifold and I'm open to having my mind changed if there are community benefits to this sort of behavior I'm not seeing. (Such as, perhaps, getting information about reliability/predictability of other users?)
As such, I am going to hold a token position in the market based on that opinion, at or below @Yev 's proposed "47 mana is inconsequential" threshold.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ52 | |
2 | Ṁ33 | |
3 | Ṁ27 | |
4 | Ṁ27 | |
5 | Ṁ21 |