Can you create a market, state you won't trade in it, and then trade in an identical market?
2
100Ṁ41
2100
33%
chance

Resolves NO if any of the following:

  • A member of Manifold staff changes the market resolution for a different market and cites [the creator's trade in the different market after claiming to forego trading in the resolved market] as the only or main reason for the decision.

  • Public statement by Manifold staff claiming that this is their policy.

Resolves YES if any of the following:

  • A situation equivalent to the above is brought to my attention where Manifold staff evaluated the situation and decided against interfering despite acknowledging that the two markets did not have meaningfully different resolution criteria.

  • Public statement by Manifold staff claiming that this is their policy.

I will trade in this market and any similar markets to the extent of my capacity and disposition.

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Is the implication that trading in the other market will influence the creator's judgment in the first market?

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