Will Biden still be president at the end of 2022? [Resolves to (serious) poll]
10
260Ṁ1451
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
YES

This is an almost-duplicate of:

At market close, I will post a poll asking Manifold users what the correct resolution should be, and the majority result of that poll will determine whether this market resolves to YES or NO.

There is one difference between this market and that one, which is that in this market I will treat anyone who votes for an incorrect result as though they had resolved their own market incorrectly. i.e. I will be more reluctant to bet in markets they have created or to trust them in other ways, and I will think less of them as a person. I would encourage other Manifold users to treat dishonorable voters the same way.

Please see the embedded market and the discussion in its comments for more context.

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