Upon market close, I will look at the new "users" tab and count up how many users there are in each column. If the number of users in the YES column is greater than the NO column, this resovles to YES. If not, it resolves to NO.
I switched to NO, its very lucrative rn
Do bot users count?
This is a coordination problem: you win if you vote with the majority. (Is this what they call a Keynesian beauty contest? It's different from "resolves to MKT" because here each user gets one vote.)
The resolution condition is almost, but not quite, symmetric: in the event of a tie, it resolves to NO.
So the obvious solution is for everyone to coordinate on NO, and y'all should do that.
@Boklam I don't think this is actually a coordination problem. If everyone bets on NO, they're not any better off as a group than if half of them bet on NO and half bet on YES. This is a zero-sum game.
It is a Keynesian beauty contest, and it rewards people who are able to coordinate with a small group of other traders to flip the market in their preferred direction.