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resolved Jan 12
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YES

Will the average anomaly in global temperatures rise by 1ºC in 2023?

Source: https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/

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predicted YES

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
2023 87 98 120 100 94 108 119 119 148 134 143 137 117 112 88 105 115 141 2023 Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec J-D D-N DJF MAM JJA SON Year

So 1.17

predicted YES

@MarsHeer Resolve please

predicted NO

El nino year, and the shipping contrails stopped so likely a jump on the graph .

predicted YES

How do we define the “pre-industrial” era, exactly?

https://www.carbonbrief.org/challenge-defining-pre-industrial-era/

predicted NO

@Meta_C this question is looking at 1951-1980 baseline, not pre-industrial

bought Ṁ25 of YES

The answer is trivially “yes”?

predicted YES

@Meta_C

The real question is, when will average global temperatures rise to 2C+…

predicted YES

@Meta_C It's compared to a higher baseline than you might think. Warmest on record was 1.02.

predicted YES

@Meta_C "on record" in this context just means "since the late 19th century"

predicted YES

@StevenK

Fair enough :)

Compared to what baseline?

predicted YES

@CromlynGames I cited source in the question. The baseline is the long-term average surface temperature measured between the years 1951-1980

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