Will the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
26
1kṀ13402030
91%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The threshold that the world's scientists determined as safe
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will global temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2030?
90% chance
Will a new record for average global temperature happen on Earth before 2030?
98% chance
Will the world be hotter on average by one degree in 2 years?
15% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
65% chance
Will Earth's average yearly temperature be 1.5 degrees by late 2028?
19% chance
In which year will global warming reach 1.5 degrees Celsius?
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
18% chance
Will the global near-surface temperature exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average for at least one year in 2023-2027?
99% chance
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
46% chance
Will average world temperatures exceed average temperatures of the Eemian interglacial 110k years ago, by 2070?
45% chance