Will the mean global temperature for every year from 2023 to 2027 be 1.1 to 1.8 degrees above the preindustrial average?
12
1kṀ2563
2028
95%
chance

This is part of a series of questions on the predictions from the last Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update from the World Meteorological Organization.

The annual mean global near-surface temperature for each year between 2023 and 2027 is predicted to be between 1.1°C and 1.8°C higher than the average over the years 1850-1900.

Will this hold true for every year between 2023 and 2027 (inclusive)? I will base the resolution on data from the WMO, if available. Otherwise, I will base it on the most reliable measurements I can find.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy