Pays 10% for each 0.01C 2023 temperature anomaly is above 1.05C per Gistemp versus 1951-1980 base period
11
245Ṁ12kresolved Jan 12
Resolved as
100.0%1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is global average temperature. Data is in no smoothing column at
(or such updated location for this Gistemp v4 LOTI global data)
Resolution
If the anomaly versus 1951 to 1980 base period per gistemp LOTI is reported as 1.15C or higher this claim resolves to 100%
If the anomaly versus 1951 to 1980 base period per gistemp LOTI is reported as 1.05C or lower this claim resolves to 0%
If 1.06C claims resolves to 10% and so on.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ66 | |
2 | Ṁ56 | |
3 | Ṁ42 | |
4 | Ṁ39 | |
5 | Ṁ26 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Global Average Temperature June 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Global Average Temperature July 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Global Average Temperature Aug 2025 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Global temperature anomaly in 2050
1.9
2050 Global Temperature Anomaly X Wheat Price
Length of longest sequence of years with an increasing July temperature anomaly for the period 2020-2035.