Will the world be hotter on average by one degree in 2 years?
8
220Ṁ1842Dec 31
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Compared to the present day, 6th of March 2024
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
2 degrees warmer than today would be well beyond the most pessimistic IPCC projections for 2050, never mind two years from now.

https://scied.ucar.edu/learning-zone/climate-change-impacts/predictions-future-global-climate
@TomozeiGeorgeAlexandru thanks! I'm assuming this is worldwide, according to some widely accepted source
Related questions
Related questions
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
38% chance
Will the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
91% chance
Will Earth's average yearly temperature be 1.5 degrees by late 2028?
19% chance
Will a erage earth temperature increase by more than 2 % by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will average global temperatures rise to 2.0 Celsius above pre-industrial baseline within 10 years?
17% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2100?
70% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2100?
63% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
78% chance
Will Earth be at least 2.2˚C warmer in 2100 than in 1880?
68% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.2°C before 2050?
45% chance