In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
Technology β’AI
13
116
αΉ942αΉ1.6K
2050
1D
1W
1M
ALL
17%
2024
6%
2025
5%
2026
6%
2027
6%
2028
6%
2029
6%
2030
6%
2031
4%
2032
4%
2033
3%
2034
3%
2035
3%
2036
3%
2037
3%
2038
3%
2039
3%
2040
17%
The Turing test, originally called the imitation game by Alan Turing in 1950, is a test of a machine's ability to exhibit intelligent behaviour equivalent to, or indistinguishable from, that of a human.
This is a companion market to /ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
This market has the same same resolution criteria as that market, but uses a dependent multiple choice format.
Get αΉ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
51% chance
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]
2,033
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
49% chance
Will 2024 be the year when AI capabilities progress from AI hardware scaling hits a wall?
34% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?
33% chance
When will AI be better than humans at AI research? (Basically AGI)
Will an AI be able to convert recent mathematical results into a fully formal proofs that can be verified by a mainstream proof assistant by 2025?
23% chance
In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?
Will an AI get a perfect SAT score before 2025?
81% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
65% chance