In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
16
1.8kṀ54662050
1.1%
2024
1.5%
2025
6%
2026
7%
2027
8%
2028
9%
2029
8%
2030
8%
2031
5%
2032
5%
2033
4%
2034
4%
2035
4%
2036
3%
2037
3%
2038
3%
2039
4%
2040
3%
2041
13%
The Turing test, originally called the imitation game by Alan Turing in 1950, is a test of a machine's ability to exhibit intelligent behaviour equivalent to, or indistinguishable from, that of a human.
This is a companion market to /ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
This market has the same same resolution criteria as that market, but uses a dependent multiple choice format.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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