In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
15
1.8kṀ21902050
12%
2024
7%
2025
4%
2026
5%
2027
5%
2028
5%
2029
5%
2030
5%
2031
3%
2032
3%
2033
2%
2034
2%
2035
2%
2036
2%
2037
2%
2038
2%
2039
2%
2040
10%
2041
22%
The Turing test, originally called the imitation game by Alan Turing in 1950, is a test of a machine's ability to exhibit intelligent behaviour equivalent to, or indistinguishable from, that of a human.
This is a companion market to /ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
This market has the same same resolution criteria as that market, but uses a dependent multiple choice format.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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