Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
27
Ṁ1kṀ4.6k2029
68%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will we have AI that behaves like a human in a video meeting settings?
Resolves to YES if a credible organisation made a match in which a human try to distinguish between another human and AI deepfake he talks to in an interactive video call that lasts more than 3 minutes, and they show an average person is incapable of doing so.
Resolves to NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related market: https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-ai-pass-the-rube-goldberg-turi
Related in that it's about AI video generation capability as a leading indicator for AGI.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?
68% chance
Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?
38% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
55% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
51% chance
Will AI video become indistinguishable from reality by 2030?
83% chance
In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
89% chance
Will AI be able to create a video with this much detail by 2030?
92% chance
Will the Twitter Turing Test be passed by 2030?
86% chance
Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026?
67% chance