
From which country will originate the AI that first passes Manifold AI's high quality Turing Test?
8
110Ṁ2822031
58%
United States
24%
China
7%
France
6%
United Kingdom
4%
Resolves as the country of origin of the AI that first passes this Turing test:
If the creators are a collaboration between multiple research groups in multiple countries, this will resolve proportionally with counties of origin of each group (e.g. 2 US groups and 1 French group resolves 2:1 US:France). If groups are sorted by contribution, and there is some first-author equivalent tier of contribution, resolves only to that subset.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?
44% chance
Which AI model will first pass the Longbets version of the Turing test?
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
65% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
60% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
56% chance
Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?
35% chance