From which country will originate the AI that first passes Manifold AI's high quality Turing Test?
7
110Ṁ2772031
64%
United States
16%
China
8%
France
7%
United Kingdom
5%
Resolves as the country of origin of the AI that first passes this Turing test:
If the creators are a collaboration between multiple research groups in multiple countries, this will resolve proportionally with counties of origin of each group (e.g. 2 US groups and 1 French group resolves 2:1 US:France). If groups are sorted by contribution, and there is some first-author equivalent tier of contribution, resolves only to that subset.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
Which AI model will first pass the Longbets version of the Turing test?
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
65% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
60% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
56% chance
Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?
75% chance
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?
2031