In what year will human-level AI first exist? | Manifold

In what year will human-level AI first exist?

Basic

18

Ṁ1207

2201

2038

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

By human-level AI, I mean AI that could feasibly accomplish any task at least as well and at least as cheaply as human workers, unaided.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

To be clear, this includes tasks that would require a robotic body, like cooking and cleaning?

@jonsimon The robotic body that can do those things doesn't need to exist, but the AI needs to be good enough that if the robotic body did exist the AI would be able to pilot the body to do those things.

Related questions

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

AI for AI 1: By when will there be an AI that can do "intern-level" ML engineering?

Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]

By which year will AI significantly extend the human lifespan (by at least 20 years)?

Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?

Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

Related questions

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?

AI for AI 1: By when will there be an AI that can do "intern-level" ML engineering?

In what year will we achieve AGI?

Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]

In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?

By which year will AI significantly extend the human lifespan (by at least 20 years)?

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules