Will any country switch diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China within one month of President Lai's inauguration?
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1kṀ11kresolved Jun 22
Resolved
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Taiwan = ROC
China = PRC
Lai's inauguration is May 20th. This market is 'active' from April 20th to June 20th, inclusive.
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12 countries currently recognized Taiwan:
Belize, Guatemala, Haiti, Holy See, Marshall Islands, Palau, Paraguay, St Lucia, St Kitts and Nevis, St Vincent and the Grenadines, Eswatini and Tuvalu.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_relations_of_Taiwan#Full_diplomatic_relations
China, Taiwan, and the Future of Guatemala
https://thediplomat.com/2024/06/china-taiwan-and-the-future-of-guatemala/
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