If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?

World 🇨🇳 China China Taiwan potential conflict

Basic

Ṁ4.1k

2030

60%

chance

ALL

This market resolves YES if this market resolves YES, and within a month from that time, a Chinese military unit has either:

Killed a deployed member of the US military.
Fired on a US military vehicle or base.

This market resolves NO if this doesn't happen within a month of the resolution of the previously mentioned market. If that market resolves NO or N/A, this market resolves N/A.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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If China decides to attack Taiwan, it would make a lot of sense to attack the US and Japan as well simultaneously.

I think the invasion will start with attacks on the US Navy, perhaps from ships that appear to be civilian.

@BTE Exactly.

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