Taiwan 2024: Lai Ching-te's Inauguration Mega-Market
9
50
Ṁ220Ṁ680
May 28
1D
1W
1M
ALL
66%
Current US Senator visits Taiwan
50%
King Charles III releases statement congratulating President Lai
50%
Taiwan announces new representative office in country currently without one
50%
Taiwan established diplomatic relations with 'new' country***
50%
Lai wears green tie****
50%
PLAAF intercepts civilian aircraft flying to Kinmen or Matsu
47%
No other answer resolves YES
44%
European Head of Parliament visits Taiwan**
41%
MND reports 50+ PLA aircraft cross median line in single day
41%
Lai or Tsai visits Itu Aba
33%
Former US president visits Taiwan
32%
Diplomatic ally flips
28%
Physical collision between Taiwanese and Chinese military vessels
15%
China attacks outlying island*
8%
Lai declares Republic of Taiwan
Which of these events will happen within one week of his inauguration on May 20th?
(13th to 27th inclusive)
*Includes Itu Aba and Pratas
**Head of a house of the parliament of a European country
***new=not on this list of countries the ROC has official relations with on March 28th 2024
****This only applies during the inauguration itself
*****According to the CWA app
Get Ṁ200 play money
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