What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?
34
1.8kṀ3884
2050
81%
US sends at least $10B of arms to Taiwan
60%
GDP per capita still >2x China in 2050
55%
Successful invasion by PRC
34%
Military conflict with PRC involving at least 1 million deaths on each side
20%
Unsuccessful invasion by PRC
20%
Formal diplomatic relations with the US
17%
Formal diplomatic relations with any country that simultaneously has formal diplomatic relations with the PRC for at least 1 month
17%
Taiwan elects pro-unification government
16%
Officially joining the UN
12%
Taiwan acquires nuclear weapons
11%
Peaceful unification with PRC
10%
PRC acknowledges Taiwan's independence

Geopolitics
China
Taiwan
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