Who will be the next paramount leader of China?
Who will be the next paramount leader of China?
11
1kṀ214
2028
48%
Other
10%
Li Qiang
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Wang Huning
4%
Wang Yi
4%
Xi Jinping
3%
No one
3%
Ding Xuexiang
3%
Li Xi
3%
Hu Chunhua
3%
Chen Min'er
3%
Huang Kunming
3%
Chen Jining

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the next person to become the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China, after Xi Jinping ceases to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China.

If no one holds the title of paramount leader of the People's Republic of China for at least 365 days after Xi Jinping ceases to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China, this market shall resolve to "No one". If Xi Jinping ceases to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China and does not regain the title of paramount leader of the People's Republic of China for at least 24 hours, this market shall resolve to "Xi Jinping" if he is the next person to become the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China within 365 days of the date Xi Jinping ceased to be the paramount leader of the People's Republic of China.

All prior references to "People's Republic of China" in this description refer to the current state officially known as the People's Republic of China, as well as to any future name the state may have, and to the successor state of the People's Republic of China if the current People's Republic of China ceases to exist.

This market currently closes at 8:00 UTC on 1 January 2028. This may change to a later date if needed.

I will not bet on this market.

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