This will be resolved based on my judgement of the vibes of top Rationalist voices in 4 years.

If through their Tweets and Substack posts, I get the sense that they are happy with Trump's reforms, and that what got done was extremely impactful, vastly outweighs any harms, and was more sizable than what other post WWII presidents have accomplished, then I will resolve YES. Otherwise, NO.

EDIT: This would be judged from 1960 with JFK (68 years before 2028).

• Update 2025-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Majority Requirement Clarification:

  • A majority of prominent rationalists must hold the view that Trump’s second term was the most positively impactful since 1960.

  • The final judgment will consider the vibes of rationalists across a spectrum, where the intensity of their views is weighed—if the core (top) voices are more fervent, they can outweigh a larger number of mildly opposing voices.

  • The process involves assessing gradations among rationalists, meaning that the consensus reflects the overall tendency rather than a strict headcount.