Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
36
1kṀ3257
2029
38%
chance

According to Silver Bulletin — if they stop doing approval ratings (as FiveThirtyEight did), another reliable source will be used.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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