Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
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According to Silver Bulletin — if they stop doing approval ratings (as FiveThirtyEight did), another reliable source will be used.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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FiveThirtyEight is shutting down and poll data has been cancelled indefinitely. https://bsky.app/profile/gelliottmorris.com/post/3ljnfl3pvuc2v
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