Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
Plus
16
Ṁ15002029
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
According to FiveThirtyEight https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ — another reliable source will be used if they stop doing approval ratings.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
45% chance
What approval ratings will Trump have on FiveThirtyEight in the first month of his second term?
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
33% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
15% chance
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
55% chance
Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)
55% chance
Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?
85% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
14% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
41% chance