Will Donald Trump be noticeably more successful at accomplishing his goals in his second term than he was in his first?
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No, I cannot articulate specific criteria by which this can be measured. I suspect if it’s true there will be consensus, though perhaps not consensus on whether it’s a good thing. But I am a basically reasonable human being with decent judgment and I think you can trust me to resolve this fairly.
I won’t participate, but my guess as of November 2024 is yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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