
Will Donald Trump be noticeably more successful at accomplishing his goals in his second term than he was in his first?
11
1kṀ4752029
63%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
No, I cannot articulate specific criteria by which this can be measured. I suspect if it’s true there will be consensus, though perhaps not consensus on whether it’s a good thing. But I am a basically reasonable human being with decent judgment and I think you can trust me to resolve this fairly.
I won’t participate, but my guess as of November 2024 is yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Check out this market to bet on what Trump will say in Year 1 https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump finish his second term?
78% chance
Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
59% chance
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
59% chance
Will Donald Trump retain power after his second term?
16% chance
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term?
Will Trump eliminate any social programs in his second term?
31% chance
Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
54% chance
What will happen during Trump's second term?
Will Trump's 2nd term be better than his first term (according to historians - tend to be liberal)?
33% chance