Will Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
36
1kαΉ33682029
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves Yes if Nate Silver's aggregator currently sited here: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin ever shows Donald Trump's current approval rating as 47.0% or higher between now and when he ends his second presidential term for any reason. Otherwise, if Trump dies, is successfully removed via impeachment, or ends his second term for any reason, this market will resolve No once any pending polls are added. The spirit of this market pertains to actual approval of Trump's actual legal term, so if his second term is extended via autocratic action or if postmortem polls are added for some glitchy/negligent reason, the market will have already resolved and will stay resolved.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
2% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
98% chance
Trump's approval rating increases by end of January 2026?
64% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
1% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
1% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
41% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
How low will Trump's approval rating get by the end of 2027?
35.5
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
17% chance
Will President Trump's approval rating, according to Gallup, change by 10% by the end of June 2026?
19% chance
