If a random 50% of federal bureaucrats are instantly fired on January 21st 2025, will anything break as a result?

1kṀ530

resolved Feb 17

Resolved

N/A

ALL

https://twitter.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1723743653816836377

"Day 1" is ambiguous, so I'd also accept January 20th.

US Politics

2024 US Presidential Election

Future US Presidents

2024 US Election

2024 Republican Primaries

Vivek Ramaswamy

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?

54% chance

Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?

23% chance

Will federal employees attempt to stage a strike before October 31, 2025?

40% chance

Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029?

17% chance

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

57% chance

Will the Department of Government Efficiency lead to at least 100,000 federal government layoffs by 4th of July 2026?

77% chance

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

34% chance

Will the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) lose more than 50% of its employees between EOY2024 and EOY2025?

54% chance

Will there be a government shutdown before April 2026?

34% chance

Federal government employment decreases by >500,000 before January 2026

Sort by:

@mods Resolve N/A

@IsaacKing Could you resolve this? It did not in fact happen.

@Gabrielle @IsaacKing because it has been over 24 hours with no response, and the situation appears to have unambiguously not happened, I am resolving this market N/A.

@Eliza Thanks

bought Ṁ50 YES

What does “bureaucrat” mean here? Does the single guy responsible for some obscure federal agency’s entire website (and representing their entire IT department) that he runs off an old workstation/server under his desk count?