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2024 Republican Primaries
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public topic created
2 years ago
• 557 followers
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Super Tuesday: Which state will Donald Trump do best in?
38
94%
Alaska
3%
Alabama
0.3%
Arkansas
0.1%
California
0.1%
Colorado
0.1%
Maine
0.1%
Massachusetts
0.1%
Minnesota
0.1%
North Carolina
1.0%
Oklahoma
0.2%
Tennessee
0.2%
Texas
0.6%
Utah
0.1%
Vermont
0.1%
Virginia
Will Trump announce his VP before the end of Autism Awareness Day? (April 2)
18
NO
Will Ron DeSantis finish another primary/caucus above 3rd place?
24
NO
Will Nikki Haley drop out of the race by the end of Cinco de Mayo 2024, the 8th anniversary of Trump's Taco Bowl Tweet?
20
YES
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky or his ideas be mentioned during the September 27, 2023 Republican Presidential debate?
41
NO
Who will come in second place (popular vote) in the 2024 Iowa Republican caucus?
39
98.2%
Ron DeSantis
0.1%
Donald Trump
1.7%
Nikki Haley
0.0%
Tim Scott
0.0%
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.0%
Other
Will Ron DeSantis get 20 or more points in the Iowa caucus?
23
YES
How many votes to confirm Kristi Noem as Sec. of Homeland Security by April 30?
11
99.0%
59 or 60
0.1%
52 or fewer
0.1%
53 or 54
0.1%
55 or 56
0.1%
57 or 58
0.2%
61 or 62
0.2%
63 or 64
0.1%
65 or 66
0.1%
67 or 68
0.1%
69 or more
Will Rep. Thomas Massie (KY) endorse Trump by May 31, 2024?
8
NO
What will the margin of victory be in Vermont's Republican primary?
13
98.4%
Haley +4-6
0.0%
Trump +8 or more
0.0%
Trump +6-8
0.0%
Trump +4-6
0.0%
Trump +2-4
0.1%
Trump +0-2
0.1%
Haley +0-2
1.3%
Haley +2-4
0.0%
Haley +6-8
0.0%
Haley +8 or more
What will be the % margin between Ron DeSantis and Nicki Haley in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary?
26
99.1%
>40%
0.1%
<10%
0.2%
10-20%
0.4%
20-30%
0.2%
30-40%
Will Nikki Haley catch up to Ron DeSantis before the third GOP primary debate?
16
NO
Who will be the next major candidate to drop out of the Republican presidential primaries? (Four candidates remaining)
27
99.9%
Asa Hutchinson
0.1%
Ron DeSantis
0.0%
Nikki Haley
0.0%
Donald Trump
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the November 8, 2023 Republican Presidential debate?
24
NO
Will the August 23, 2023 Republican Presidential debate be civilized?
53
YES
Will Trump announce his running mate before the end of May Day? (May 1st)
14
NO
Will Mark Cuban enter in the Republican Party presidential primaries 2024 before Super Tuesday?
15
NO
Who will win the Democratic Nomination for the toss-up New Hampshire Governor's election?
8
98.5%
Joyce Craig (Former Mayor of Manchester NH)
0.3%
Jonathan Kipper (Restaurateur)
0.9%
Cinde Warmington (New Hampshire Executive Council)
0.3%
Other
What will the difference be between Trump’s vote share in the 2024 Iowa caucus and Biden’s vote share in the NH primary?
10
99.6%
10-14.9 points
0.0%
0-4.9 points
0.0%
5-9.9 points
0.1%
15-19.9 points
0.1%
20-24.9 points
0.0%
25-29.9 points
0.0%
30-34.9 points
0.0%
35-39.9 points
0.0%
40 or more points
0.0%
Other
Will Nikki Haley be on the 2024 Republican Presidential ticket?
10
NO
Will Ron de Santis win the presidential vote in 2024 in Florida?
6
NO
Will Ron DeSantis (YES) get more total delegates than Nikki Haley (NO) in the 2024 Republican Primary?
32
NO
Will Bitcoin reach $54321 before Nikki Haley drops out?
14
YES
Will "Trump will be the only Republican presidential candidate running by October 26th"?
9
NO
Will Contrapoints' next video release before Trump's running mate / VP candidate?
9
YES
Who will win the Milwaukee GOP debate?
47
75%
Ron DeSantis
0.5%
Chris Christie
0.3%
Mike Pence
0.1%
Asa Hutchinson
0.1%
Doug Burgum
16%
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.1%
Tim Scott
8%
Nikki Haley
Will anyone besides Trump get more than 1% of the vote in the Nevada caucus?
34
NO
Will Nikki Haley get [33, 36, 39] or more points in the Republican New Hampshire primary? [Each resolves individually]
16
100.0%
33 or more
100.0%
36 or more
100.0%
39 or more
Will Ron Desantis drop out of the Presidential race before Florida holds its primaries (March 19th)?
27
YES
Who will win the Republican Primary for US Senator from New York?
4
98.6%
Mike Sapraicone
0.2%
David Bellon
0.2%
Calvin Driggers
0.5%
Joshua Eisen
0.2%
Jeffrey Rozler
0.2%
Other
Will the GOP nominate its 2024 presidential candidate before the RNC?
7
NO
Will Donald Trump win every Republican caucus and primary?
18
NO
Will Nikki Haley lose to “None of these candidates” in the Nevada primary?
9
YES
Which of the following candidates will drop out of the GOP primary first?
31
98.9%
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.0%
Donald Trump
0.2%
Nikki Haley
0.9%
Ron Desantis
Will any prominent non-Republican politician endorse Nikki Haley for the 2024 presidential election?
5
NO
Will the Republican nominee’s choice for running mate be someone serving in Congress?
7
YES
Will Nikki Haley have at least 20% on 538's Republican Primary 2024 page at the end of Be Humble Day? (Feb 22)
15
NO
[short fuse] What vote share will Matt Dolan get in the Ohio Republican Senate primary on March 19, 2024?
12
0.0%
40.01 percent or greater
0.0%
26.00 percent or less
100.0%
32.01-34.00 percent
Will Mike Pence end his presidential campaign before the first primary is held?
23
YES
Which of the following Virginia counties will Nikki Haley win in the March 5 Republican primary? (Multiple choice)
19
100.0%
Fairfax
100.0%
Charlottesville
100.0%
Williamsburg
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