Will any major three letter USA federal agency stop operating before 2045, if yes, which one first?
18
1kṀ784
2044
29%
no
12%
DOC
10%
DHS
8%
Other
6%
FDA
5%
CDC
5%
DOE
4%
ICE
4%
NSA
3%
DEA
3%
SEC
1.9%
CIA
1.9%
FBI
1.9%
DOD
1.9%
FCC
1.9%
DOJ
1.9%
DOT

A name change does not count, a significant split or merger does.
Does not resolve "other", it's there to be able to potentially add ones I missed within the next month or so.

Politics
US Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will any current U.S. national laboratory be shut down by 2040?
49% chance
Will the 2025-2029 administration close a federal department in the US before Jan 20th, 2029?
48% chance
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)
56% chance
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
27% chance
Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?
57% chance
No federal department will exist in 2027
7% chance
Will there be a company larger than the US Government by 2040?
20% chance
Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?
13% chance
USAID dismantled by FY 2026?
62% chance
Will the USA dissolve by 2034?
5% chance
Sort by:

should definitely add Commerce, Education, and Energy, all of which are plausible

@SemioticRivalry education is not 3 letters, added the other two.

@CodeandSolder Huh, never knew that it abbreviated to ED, that's funny

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_defunct_or_renamed_United_States_federal_agencies

A list that might be of interest to traders.

People are also trading

Will any current U.S. national laboratory be shut down by 2040?
49% chance
Will the 2025-2029 administration close a federal department in the US before Jan 20th, 2029?
48% chance
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)
56% chance
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
27% chance
Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?
57% chance
No federal department will exist in 2027
7% chance
Will there be a company larger than the US Government by 2040?
20% chance
Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?
13% chance
USAID dismantled by FY 2026?
62% chance
Will the USA dissolve by 2034?
5% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules