Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Nate Silver be right about the Senate?
15
Ṁ5kṀ2.3k
Nov 4
17%
chance

Resolves yes if Nate gets every seat below correct:

  • Update 2026-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Toss-up seats count as correct either way; Nate only needs to get the other 48 seats correct.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

How would "toss-up" be rated as correct or incorrect? How would the leaners be rated as correct or incorrect?

@ChurlishGambit Toss up is correct either way. He only needs to get right the other 48.