Will Nate Silver be right about the House? [231-251 seats]
3
Ṁ1kṀ153Nov 4
57%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if Nate's prediction the day before the election of 241 seats is right plus/minus 10. 231-251 seats. Will resolve based on news projections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Nate Silver be right about the Senate?
18% chance
Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?
41% chance
Which of Nate Silver’s four scenarios for the next era of American politics will come true?
Trump's Second Term: Will Manifold out-predict Nate Silver?