Will Nate Silver win his Way-Too-Early 2028 Democratic Primary Draft against Galen Druke?
13
100Ṁ4442028
75%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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1M
ALL
YES: Nate Silver wins
NO: Galen Druke wins
The rules and the picks are listed here:
I will not bet in this market. If some intervening events make resolving this market impossible (a dramatic change in the structure of the democratic primary, or something), I will decide between resolving to 50/50 and resolving N/A depending on the situation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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