Will any object reach level 2 on the Torino scale by Dec. 31, 2024?
3
25
Ṁ50Ṁ90
2025
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if any object reaches level 2 or higher on the Torino scale (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torino_scale) by market close.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?
16% chance
Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
54% chance
Will the Collatz Conjecture be proved true by December 2024?
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
27% chance
Will any anthropogenic object be further from Earth than Voyager 1 before 2060?
61% chance
Will someone beat Tetris level 255 by 2030 year end?
54% chance
Will any spacecraft land on at least 3 astronomical bodies before 2040?
42% chance
Will a human player reach level 255 in NES Tetris by 2027?
59% chance
Will any human-created structure break 1km in height before 2035?
42% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
27% chance