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MANIFOLD
Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
72
Ṁ1kṀ8.1k
2039
84%
chance

https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems

1 was solved - the Poincare conjecture - by Grigori Perelman. There are 6 remaining.

There are 17ish years left before this market closes.

Apr 4, 1:51am: Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems by solved by 2040? → Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

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@JosephNoonan Interesting that more than doubling the time frame only gives this market an extra 7%, compared to mine above. I feel like the difference should be larger than that.

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