Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?
21
1kṀ2106
2027
10%
chance

Resolves YES if a Nuclear Thermal Rocket (a rocket propelled using heat from a nuclear reaction) reaches space (defined as the Karman line, 100km altitude) before 2027. Otherwise NO.

Background:

NASA, DARPA to launch nuclear rocket to orbit by early 2026

https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/tdm/nuclear-thermal-propulsion/index.html

  • It is necessary for the rocket to have a propulsion system based on nuclear power.

  • It is not necessary that the nuclear propulsion system works. If a rocket with nuclear propulsion (like the DRACO demonstrator) reaches space but the nuclear propulsion system fails, that would still count as YES.

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