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The launch is set for May 6th at 10:34 pm, so a delay of two hours could bump it into a launch on the 7th. The weather is supposed to be 95% likely to be good, but technical issues could arise. I am betting on the 6th, but I am not betting the farm.

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By when will Starliner-1 launch?

When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?

When will Starship first launch with useful payload?

Which happens first: Starship / Superheavy recovery or second crewed Starliner flight?

Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?

2% chance

Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?

35% chance

Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight?

4% chance

When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?

Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?

Where will the first crewed Starship landing happen?

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