
On what date will the first crewed Boeing Starliner lift off happen?
16
แน1.3kแน6.6kresolved Jun 1
100%24%Other
0.1%
10th May
0.1%
11th May
0.0%
17th May
0.0%
18th May
0.0%
21st May
0.0%
22nd May
0.9%
25th May
75%
June 1st
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@GordanKnott That won't get them anything. If you bet "Yes" and the market is at 0.3%, then you could sell your Yes but it wouldn't gain you any profit compared to the market resolving. Maybe it's like half a mana difference. It also doesn't affect anyone that bet correctly.
Meanwhile we could still make bets on May 21/22, and you could add new answers as well.
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Related questions
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?
By when will Starliner-1 launch?
Which happens first: Starship / Superheavy recovery or second crewed Starliner flight?
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
2% chance
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
35% chance
Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight?
4% chance
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Where will the first crewed Starship landing happen?