Are doomers doomed? | Manifold

Are doomers doomed?

5

137

Ṁ69

Ṁ130

2151

68%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES

Get Ṁ600 play money

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predicts YES

predicts YES

predicts YES

predicts YES

predicts YES

Resolves YES when doomers are in prison or disgraced for their constant intellectual terrorism and hatred of humanity

(Happened once with sbf, happens again with …)

We all are, in the long term. Some of us acknowledge it.

predicts YES

bought Ṁ4 of YES

bought Ṁ5 of YES

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More related questions

Will Zvi's p(doom) go down substantially in 2024?

+5% 1d26% chance

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will an AI Doomer turn to violence by the end of 2026?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?

Doom or Boom? Human Population by 2100

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?

-12% 1d31% chance

Is your P(Doom) currently between 10% and 90%? (By 2050)

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will I consider myself “doom-pilled” by EOY 2024?

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?

Politics questions

Will Ebrahim Raisi survive the helicopter crash?

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Related questions

Will Zvi's p(doom) go down substantially in 2024?

Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Is your P(Doom) currently between 10% and 90%? (By 2050)

Will an AI Doomer turn to violence by the end of 2026?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?

Will I consider myself “doom-pilled” by EOY 2024?

Doom or Boom? Human Population by 2100

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?