Will I consider myself “doom-pilled” by EOY 2024? | Manifold

Will I consider myself “doom-pilled” by EOY 2024?

Basic

9

Ṁ95

Dec 31

42%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://manifold.markets/Alana/will-i-consider-myself-doompilled-b?r=QWxhbmE

Last market was pretty good, let’s try again!

#Change my view

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Should a specific p(doom) qualify as doom-pilled? If so, what should that p(doom) be? 70%?

After looking more carefully into WTSG, I now feel quite a bit less optimistic about it than I did initially. It still seems like an exciting empirical direction of inquiry, however.

bought Ṁ1 NO at 58%

bought Ṁ3 YES

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Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?

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