Will Lula da Silva win the 2022 Brazil presidential election?
52
565Ṁ15k
resolved Oct 30
Resolved
YES

Politics
Global Macro
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,228
2Ṁ871
3Ṁ386
4Ṁ257
5Ṁ151

People are also trading

Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
58% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
88% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
3% chance
Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?
3% chance
Will Lula be impeached?
7% chance
Will Brazil 2026 election have the same outcome as the US 2024 election?
10% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
17% chance
Sort by:
predictedYES

This was a great market. Now is there gonna be a civil conflict with Bolsanaro??

predictedYES

@BTE Is there a Bolsonaro concession market?

predictedYES

@Charlie Made one here: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-bolsanaro-concede-the-election

predictedYES
predictedYES

@Charlie There's also the inauguration ceremony market.

predictedYES

@Charlie I just found these too.

predictedNO

gg wp

predictedYES

@ThiagoSantos É nois thiago

predictedYES

Called by all major outlets. Lula elected

predictedYES

@LeonardoKroger Not yet.

predictedYES

Sportbetting is right now a coin flip, which I think is silly. Just bet there. But I guess it would be of interest to those on this market.


Related market

predictedYES

Arb: https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-lula-da-silva-win-the-2022-pre

People are also trading

Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
58% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
88% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the next Brazilian presidential elections?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
3% chance
Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?
3% chance
Will Lula be impeached?
7% chance
Will Brazil 2026 election have the same outcome as the US 2024 election?
10% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
17% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules