Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20
1kṀ15692027
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to True if Lula is on the ballots for president in 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Metacalculus is substantially lower (45%) https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/29214/will-lula-be-a-candidate-for-reelection-in-2026/
Related questions
Related questions
Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?
15% chance
Will Lula still be President of Brazil on March 1st 2025? 🇧🇷🗳️
97% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
32% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6% chance
Will Fernando Haddad be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
25% chance
Who will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Tarcísio de Freitas be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
84% chance
Will Michelle Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
10% chance