Will Jair Bolsonaro be reelected president of Brazil in the first round?
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Brazilian presidential elections can have 2 rounds. A candidate wins in the first round if he receives more votes than all the others combined.
Resolves yes if Bolsonaro wins reelection in the first round, scheduled for Oct 02, 2022.
Void if he doesn't run (death, court order, etc)
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Multiple polling sources show Bolsonaro polling second to Lula and no candidate over 50%.
https://www.as-coa.org/articles/poll-tracker-brazils-2022-presidential-election
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/new-web-based-poll-predicts-tighter-brazil-presidential-race-2022-08-25/
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