Will Lula da Silva win the 2022 presidential elections in Brazil?
Basic
50
Ṁ16k
resolved Oct 31
Resolved
YES
This market resolves YES if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the presidential election in Brazil, scheduled for Oct 2nd, 2022 (1st round) and Oct 30th, 2022 (2nd round). The market resolves NO if Lula withdraws his candidacy, (inclusive-)or if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves N/A if the election is postponed for more than two weeks. Otherwise, the above applies. The market will be resolved as soon as an official result is widely reported (expected within the week after the second election round).
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83% seems fairly valued
Another important question is: will he be inaugurated if he wins?
@AndreManoel Yes
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