Will Jair Bolsonaro be reelected president of Brazil? | Manifold

Will Jair Bolsonaro be reelected president of Brazil?

Basic

110

Ṁ47k

resolved Oct 31

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022 Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.

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CNN reporting Lula as having won

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/30/americas/brazil-election-polls-open-intl/index.html

predicted NO

Are we moving to 30% because of Datafolha?

@MP Several pools shows Bolsonaro ahead now

predicted YES

Related market

Related market: https://manifold.markets/MP/in-case-of-not-winning-a-second-ter

Related market: https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-lula-da-silva-win-the-2022-pre

Bolsanaro is deeply unpopular and his net approval is well into the -30s, while his opponent Lula exited office as one of the most popular Presidents in Brazilian history.

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