Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Jair Bolsonaro be reelected president of Brazil?
110
Ṁ940Ṁ47k
resolved Oct 31
Resolved
NO
From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022 Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.
Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ1,300
2Ṁ301
3Ṁ298
4Ṁ270
5Ṁ254

People are also trading

2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
2% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
41% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?
2% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
2% chance
Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
2% chance
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
94% chance
Sort by:

CNN reporting Lula as having won

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/30/americas/brazil-election-polls-open-intl/index.html

predictedNO

Are we moving to 30% because of Datafolha?

@MP Several pools shows Bolsonaro ahead now

predictedYES


Related market

Related market: https://manifold.markets/MP/in-case-of-not-winning-a-second-ter
Related market: https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-lula-da-silva-win-the-2022-pre
Bolsanaro is deeply unpopular and his net approval is well into the -30s, while his opponent Lula exited office as one of the most popular Presidents in Brazilian history.

People are also trading

2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
2% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
41% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be one of the top two candidates in the next Brazilian Presidential elections?
2% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
2% chance
Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
2% chance
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
94% chance