Will Jair Bolsonaro be reelected president of Brazil?
Politics
110
124
Ṁ940
resolved Oct 31
Resolved
NO
From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022 Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.
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sold Ṁ17 of YES

CNN reporting Lula as having won

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/30/americas/brazil-election-polls-open-intl/index.html

predicted NO

Are we moving to 30% because of Datafolha?

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@MP Several pools shows Bolsonaro ahead now

predicted YES


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Bolsanaro is deeply unpopular and his net approval is well into the -30s, while his opponent Lula exited office as one of the most popular Presidents in Brazilian history.

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