Bolsonaro cobra eleição limpa e fala em passar faixa e se recolher em caso de derrota...

https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2022/09/bolsonaro-diz-que-se-arrepende-de-fala-sobre-nao-ser-coveiro-na-pandemia.shtml?utm_source=sharenativo&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sharenativo

Bolsonaro said he will pass the sash and move on in case of defeat. Not clear if it's literally. 

He said it would not attend it https://youtu.be/IBFdmgFByFM

Although it's just a presidential cerimony and just a symbol, Brazil has a tradition of the outgoing president waiting with the president Sash at the Planalto Palace and giving it to the next one at the inauguration day. It's a important symbol of transfer of power. 

In case of Bolsonaro winning a second term, this market will settle to N/A. 

In case of Bolsonaro not winning a second term, this market will settle to YES in case of him attending his successor inauguration and handling him a the presidential sash. Otherwise, this market will settle to NO. 

Play-money trading