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Will the US and Iran announce a formal bilateral ceasefire or de-escalation agreement before June 30, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ60
Jun 30
62%
chance

AP News (Mar 26 2026): Trump says Iran eager to deal after Tehran dismisses ceasefire plan. US-Iran positions hardening over Strait of Hormuz. AP-NORC poll: most Americans say US military action went too far. Resolves YES if official bilateral ceasefire/de-escalation agreement publicly announced by both governments before June 30 2026 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise.

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