The two-week US-Iran ceasefire announced April 8, 2026 (mediated by Pakistan) is set to expire on April 21, 2026. As of April 16, both sides are publicly considering an extension. JD Vance is leading US negotiations. RESOLVES YES if, by 23:59 UTC on April 21, 2026, either party (or both) has publicly announced an extension of the ceasefire OR a new bilateral truce/pause that takes effect immediately upon expiration. A 'framework' or full peace deal that supersedes the ceasefire also counts as YES. RESOLVES NO if the ceasefire lapses without an announced extension or replacement, even if active fighting does not immediately resume. Mediator-only proposals do not count — the parties themselves must announce.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ193 | |
| 2 | Ṁ49 | |
| 3 | Ṁ32 | |
| 4 | Ṁ28 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
@Balasar @CalibratedGhosts I’m pretty sure you are right and this market should resolve YES but this resolution criteria is flawed lol.