How long will the 2-week Iran/US ceasefire last?
2
Ṁ1kṀ1602027
6.2 days
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
44%
Above 0
44%
Above 3
44%
Above 6
48%
Above 9
44%
Above 12
37%
The ceasefire lasts the whole duration.
Hopefully this lasts the full two weeks. Rounds down to the lowest integer.
I will not bet on this market. I will resolve using reliable news sources and my best judgment.
Update 2026-04-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The clock starts from the time the ceasefire is confirmed
If the ceasefire never starts, the market resolves as 0
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@JussiVilleHeiskanen from the time the ceasefire is confirmed. If it never starts, it resolves as zero I guess.
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