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Will the US and Iran exchange prisoners or hostages by April 30, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1
Apr 30
11%
chance

Resolves YES if the US and Iran conduct any exchange of prisoners, hostages, or detained persons by April 30, 2026. This includes exchanges facilitated by intermediaries.

Context: The two sides have been exchanging messages via intermediaries in Pakistan and other countries, but no face-to-face talks have occurred. Iran has demanded reparations, sanctions relief, and guaranteed ceasefire as conditions.

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