Will I, at the start of 2025, think that all hell broke loose the previous year?

This criterion feels worryingly subjective to me, and I'm not expecting people to trade it much before a bunch of potential traders have asked me a bunch of questions.

But for example, if you don't expect 2024 to encompass more change than happened in 2022-2023 inclusive, you can go ahead and bet NO. That would be definitely an insufficient amount of total change to resolve YES; I'm looking for something more than merely "change twice as fast as the average of the last two years".

Conversely if you already expect that, by the end of 2024, there will be tank battles inside the USA, between tanks driven by different factions of US soldiers who previously downloaded ChatGPT or Claude and have now been persuaded by their apps to fight in those battles (with or without OpenAI/Anthropic having sponsored this on purpose), you should go ahead and bet YES. This is sufficient (but not necessary) to count for me as all hell breaking loose.

In the event that all human beings on Earth are dead at the end of 2024, this market should be resolved N/A, not YES or NO. The intent is to forecast the case of nonfatal hell only, so as not to introduce issues about the relative future valuation of Manifold mana.

ADDED 1: Sufficiently huge positive changes also count as YES; all heaven breaking loose is a special case of all hell breaking loose.