Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?
11
39
Ṁ207Ṁ320
2040
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will try to make this criteria as objective as possible:
1) A single significant event would need to have happened (A slow increase in unemployment leading to public backlash would not be sufficient)
2) Public opinion polls are significantly against AI
3) Many governments take action to ban/limit the development and deployment of AI
This would be analogous to Chernobyl leading to the banning of nuclear power in many nations.
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