Will there be an AI culture war in 2025?
108
1kṀ12k2026
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is Casey's high-confidence prediction from the 1/3/25 episode of the "Hard Fork" podcast.
Market will resolve to yes if there is at least one U.S. Congressional hearing in 2025 devoted primarily to the political bias of AI chatbots, or particular responses given by an AI chatbot. Otherwise, it will resolve to no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
bought Ṁ250 NO
It makes cute anime pictures XDDDDD
People are also trading
Related questions
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
28% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
56% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
27% chance
If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?
67% chance
Will AI-related news in 2025 have a bigger media impact than covid19-related news had in 2020?
15% chance
Will AI start a war before 2040
23% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will AI create philosophy before 2030?
86% chance
Will any other large AI organization have a big public leadership conflict before 2028?
68% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2150?
12% chance