Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
25
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2035
34%
chance

The typical defition of war; at least 1000 combatant deaths.

It doesn't have to be solely fought over AI, but AI must be a significant cause.

  • Update 2025-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In a scenario involving robot combat, the 1000 combatant deaths can consist of:

    • Humans

    • Machines that are generally believed to be sentient

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